League One — England
Mon, Dec 29 2025 • 19:45 • Cardiff City Stadium
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.44) 1.37 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.6% 24.5% 33.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Stevenage
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff 0 5.3% 7.3% 5.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
1 8.3% 11.4% 7.8% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.5% 8.9% 6.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.4% 4.7% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCardiffStevenage
Played55
Form80%40%
Attack71%36%
Defense50%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cardiff Stevenage
HATHAT
Played11102191120
Wins82%50%67%56%45%50%
Draws0%20%10%33%27%30%
Loses18%30%24%11%27%20%

Form: Cardiff: WDWWWWDLWLWWLLWWWWWLW • Stevenage: WWWWLWDWWWLDLDWDLWDD

League goals

Metric Cardiff Stevenage
HATHAT
GF total271138111324
GF avg2.51.11.81.21.21.2
GA total1482251015
GA avg1.30.81.00.60.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCardiffStevenage
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%57%65%60%
1.548%29%40%15%
2.533%19%15%0%
3.514%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCardiffStevenage
HATHAT
Clean sheets459538
Failed to score123257

Penalties

MetricCardiffStevenage
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricCardiffStevenage
Wins54
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-32-01-3
Biggest losses1-33-10-11-0
Goals For4323
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricCardiffStevenage
Form67%33%
Att67%33%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total55.8%44.3%

Advice: Double chance : Cardiff or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ 1xBet
Draw3.58 @ Pinnacle
Away5.02 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.77 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Betfair
No1.86 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cardiff = 1.57 (league 1.44), Stevenage = 1.37 (league 1.14)

Stevenage
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cardiff 0 5.3% 7.3% 5.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
1 8.3% 11.4% 7.8% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.5% 8.9% 6.1% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.4% 4.7% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.6% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 33.1%

Vtot 15 , Vtod11