League One — England
Thu, Jan 1 2026 • 15:00 • Sixfields Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.47) 1.37 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.0% 27.1% 43.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Stockport County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Northampton 0 8.8% 12.0% 8.2% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
1 9.3% 12.8% 8.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.0% 6.8% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.8% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNorthamptonStockport County
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack38%63%
Defense31%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Northampton Stockport County
HATHAT
Played111122121022
Wins45%27%36%42%60%50%
Draws18%9%14%25%20%23%
Loses36%64%50%33%20%27%

Form: Northampton: LDLLWWWLWDLWLLWLWDLWLL • Stockport County: WWDLWDLDWDWWWWLLDWLWLW

League goals

Metric Northampton Stockport County
HATHAT
GF total13922161733
GF avg1.20.81.01.31.71.5
GA total101828161329
GA avg0.91.61.31.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNorthamptonStockport County
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%68%91%73%
1.527%36%45%36%
2.59%14%9%18%
3.50%5%5%5%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNorthamptonStockport County
HATHAT
Clean sheets437336
Failed to score358112

Penalties

MetricNorthamptonStockport County
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricNorthamptonStockport County
Wins34
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-34-20-3
Biggest losses1-35-10-33-0
Goals For3343
Goals Against3534

Model comparison

MetricNorthamptonStockport County
Form31%69%
Att38%63%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total41.3%58.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Stockport County

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.75 @ Betfair
Draw3.47 @ Pinnacle
Away2.10 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.94 @ 188Bet
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Northampton = 1.06 (league 1.47), Stockport County = 1.37 (league 1.12)

Stockport County
0 1 2 3 4 5
Northampton 0 8.8% 12.0% 8.2% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
1 9.3% 12.8% 8.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.0% 6.8% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.8% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.0% · Draw 27.1% · Away win 43.5%

vtt 13 , vtd1