League One — England
Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 12:00 • Toughsheet Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.96 (league 1.47) 0.43 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.7% 18.6% 7.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.9%
2 - 0
17.6%
3 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
Northampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bolton 0 9.1% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.9% 7.7% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.6% 7.6% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.5% 5.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBoltonNorthampton
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack60%50%
Defense40%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bolton Northampton
HATHAT
Played121123121123
Wins67%18%43%42%27%35%
Draws25%45%35%25%9%17%
Loses8%36%22%33%64%48%

Form: Bolton: LWDDDDWDWLWLWWWDDWWLWLD • Northampton: LDLLWWWLWDLWLLWLWDLWLLD

League goals

Metric Bolton Northampton
HATHAT
GF total2293113922
GF avg1.80.81.31.10.81.0
GA total71522101828
GA avg0.61.41.00.81.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBoltonNorthampton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%74%61%65%
1.535%17%26%35%
2.513%4%9%13%
3.59%0%0%4%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBoltonNorthampton
HATHAT
Clean sheets516538
Failed to score235459

Penalties

MetricBoltonNorthampton
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricBoltonNorthampton
Wins33
Draws41
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-23-10-3
Biggest losses0-13-01-35-1
Goals For4233
Goals Against1335

Model comparison

MetricBoltonNorthampton
Form64%36%
Att55%45%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h71%29%
Goals59%41%
Total65.7%34.5%

Advice: Double chance : Bolton or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.38 @ Unibet
Draw5.10 @ Pinnacle
Away9.30 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Bolton = 1.96 (league 1.47), Northampton = 0.43 (league 1.11)

Northampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bolton 0 9.1% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.9% 7.7% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.6% 7.6% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.5% 5.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.7% · Draw 18.6% · Away win 7.1%

vtt 2 , vtd1