League One — England
Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 15:00 • Home Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.44) 1.57 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.3% 25.3% 54.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.5%
1 - 1
11.8%
0 - 2
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Burton Albion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Plymouth 0 9.2% 14.5% 11.4% 6.0% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.5% 11.8% 9.2% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 3.0% 4.8% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
3 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPlymouthBurton Albion
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack69%54%
Defense46%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Plymouth Burton Albion
HATHAT
Played121224121123
Wins25%42%33%33%27%30%
Draws17%8%13%17%36%26%
Loses58%50%54%50%36%43%

Form: Plymouth: LLLLWLWWLWDLLLLWLLWWWLDD • Burton Albion: WLDLLLDLWDWLWDWWLLDDWLL

League goals

Metric Plymouth Burton Albion
HATHAT
GF total111829111223
GF avg0.91.51.20.91.11.0
GA total192039171431
GA avg1.61.71.61.41.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePlymouthBurton Albion
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%79%52%70%
1.521%50%30%39%
2.517%25%9%17%
3.513%8%4%9%
4.54%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPlymouthBurton Albion
HATHAT
Clean sheets235437
Failed to score4488311

Penalties

MetricPlymouthBurton Albion
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricPlymouthBurton Albion
Wins32
Draws12
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-55-11-2
Biggest losses1-44-00-42-0
Goals For4552
Goals Against4443

Model comparison

MetricPlymouthBurton Albion
Form62%38%
Att56%44%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h85%15%
Goals75%25%
Total60.2%39.8%

Advice: Double chance : Plymouth or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.11 @ 188Bet
Draw3.58 @ Pinnacle
Away4.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ SBO
Under 2.51.96 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle
No2.08 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Plymouth = 0.81 (league 1.44), Burton Albion = 1.57 (league 1.12)

Burton Albion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Plymouth 0 9.2% 14.5% 11.4% 6.0% 2.3% 0.7%
1 7.5% 11.8% 9.2% 4.8% 1.9% 0.6%
2 3.0% 4.8% 3.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
3 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.3% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 54.7%

vtt 2 , vtd1