League One — England
Tue, Feb 24 2026 • 19:45 • Sixfields Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.48) 0.69 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.7% 31.7% 22.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.4%
0 - 0
16.4%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Port Vale
0 1 2 3 4 5
Northampton 0 16.4% 11.3% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.4% 12.6% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.3% 7.1% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNorthamptonPort Vale
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack32%26%
Defense53%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Northampton Port Vale
HATHAT
Played161733151530
Wins38%18%27%13%20%17%
Draws19%24%21%33%20%27%
Loses44%59%52%53%60%57%

Form: Northampton: LDLLWWWLWDLWLLWLWDLWLLDDLLLLDWDLL • Port Vale: LDDLLLLWWWDDLLLDLLDLLLWLLWLDLD

League goals

Metric Northampton Port Vale
HATHAT
GF total181230141024
GF avg1.10.70.90.90.70.8
GA total172845202343
GA avg1.11.61.41.31.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNorthamptonPort Vale
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%70%47%77%
1.524%45%23%37%
2.59%12%3%20%
3.50%6%3%7%
4.50%3%3%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNorthamptonPort Vale
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510347
Failed to score59148816

Penalties

MetricNorthamptonPort Vale
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricNorthamptonPort Vale
Wins33
Draws22
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-35-10-2
Biggest losses1-35-10-35-0
Goals For3352
Goals Against3535

Model comparison

MetricNorthamptonPort Vale
Form50%50%
Att55%45%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h62%38%
Goals75%25%
Total57.7%42.3%

Advice: Double chance : Northampton or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.33 @ Unibet
Draw3.41 @ Pinnacle
Away3.17 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ SBO
Under 2.51.87 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.03 @ 188Bet
No2.08 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Northampton = 1.12 (league 1.48), Port Vale = 0.69 (league 1.12)

Port Vale
0 1 2 3 4 5
Northampton 0 16.4% 11.3% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.4% 12.6% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.3% 7.1% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.7% · Draw 31.7% · Away win 22.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1