League One — England
Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 12:30 • Home Park
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.44) 1.74 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.7% 23.6% 48.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Luton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Plymouth 0 5.2% 9.0% 7.8% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7%
1 6.3% 11.0% 9.6% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.9% 6.7% 5.8% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5%
3 1.6% 2.7% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPlymouthLuton
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack58%92%
Defense50%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Plymouth Luton
HATHAT
Played131326141226
Wins31%46%38%50%33%42%
Draws15%8%12%29%17%23%
Loses54%46%50%21%50%35%

Form: Plymouth: LLLLWLWWLWDLLLLWLLWWWLDDWW • Luton: WWLWLWLLWDLLWWDLWDDDLWWLWD

League goals

Metric Plymouth Luton
HATHAT
GF total141933211637
GF avg1.11.51.31.51.31.4
GA total192039131932
GA avg1.51.51.50.91.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePlymouthLuton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%73%77%62%
1.523%46%46%38%
2.519%23%15%15%
3.512%8%4%4%
4.54%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPlymouthLuton
HATHAT
Clean sheets3476410
Failed to score448336

Penalties

MetricPlymouthLuton
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricPlymouthLuton
Wins32
Draws23
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-54-00-3
Biggest losses1-44-00-25-0
Goals For4543
Goals Against4435

Model comparison

MetricPlymouthLuton
Form44%56%
Att39%61%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h62%38%
Goals47%53%
Total45.2%54.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Luton

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Betfair
Draw3.52 @ Pinnacle
Away2.55 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ 188Bet
No2.06 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Plymouth = 1.22 (league 1.44), Luton = 1.74 (league 1.12)

Luton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Plymouth 0 5.2% 9.0% 7.8% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7%
1 6.3% 11.0% 9.6% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8%
2 3.9% 6.7% 5.8% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5%
3 1.6% 2.7% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.7% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 48.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1