League One — England
Tue, Jan 27 2026 • 19:45 • Toughsheet Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.47) 0.54 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.8% 22.4% 10.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.9%
2 - 0
15.5%
0 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Burton Albion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bolton 0 10.3% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.9% 9.6% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.5% 8.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.0% 4.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBoltonBurton Albion
Played55
Form53%20%
Attack29%29%
Defense71%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bolton Burton Albion
HATHAT
Played141428131326
Wins64%21%43%38%23%31%
Draws29%43%36%15%31%23%
Loses7%36%21%46%46%46%

Form: Bolton: LWDDDDWDWLWLWWWDDWWLWLDDLWDW • Burton Albion: WLDLLLDLWDWLWDWWLLDDWLLLWL

League goals

Metric Bolton Burton Albion
HATHAT
GF total241135141327
GF avg1.70.81.31.11.01.0
GA total81826181937
GA avg0.61.30.91.41.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBoltonBurton Albion
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%68%54%73%
1.532%18%31%42%
2.511%7%12%19%
3.57%0%4%8%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBoltonBurton Albion
HATHAT
Clean sheets639437
Failed to score3478412

Penalties

MetricBoltonBurton Albion
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricBoltonBurton Albion
Wins32
Draws42
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-25-11-2
Biggest losses0-13-00-43-0
Goals For4252
Goals Against1343

Model comparison

MetricBoltonBurton Albion
Form73%27%
Att50%50%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h71%29%
Goals50%50%
Total65.2%34.8%

Advice: Double chance : Bolton or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.51 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.50 @ Dafabet
Away7.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.08 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ 10Bet
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Bolton = 1.74 (league 1.47), Burton Albion = 0.54 (league 1.12)

Burton Albion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bolton 0 10.3% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.9% 9.6% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.5% 8.3% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.0% 4.8% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.8% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 10.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1