League One — England
Tue, Jan 27 2026 • 19:45 • Aesseal New York Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.48) 0.87 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.0% 29.4% 26.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.0%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Northampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rotherham 0 12.3% 10.8% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.0% 13.1% 5.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.2% 8.0% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.7% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRotherhamNorthampton
Played55
Form7%13%
Attack29%7%
Defense14%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.81 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rotherham Northampton
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins31%15%23%38%23%31%
Draws38%15%27%23%15%19%
Loses31%69%50%38%62%50%

Form: Rotherham: WLLDLWLLLDWWWDWDDDLLLLLLLD • Northampton: LDLLWWWLWDLWLLWLWDLWLLDDLL

League goals

Metric Rotherham Northampton
HATHAT
GF total1692514923
GF avg1.20.71.01.10.70.9
GA total182139122032
GA avg1.41.61.50.91.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRotherhamNorthampton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%81%58%65%
1.527%46%23%38%
2.54%19%8%12%
3.50%4%0%4%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRotherhamNorthampton
HATHAT
Clean sheets325549
Failed to score3694711

Penalties

MetricRotherhamNorthampton
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricRotherhamNorthampton
Wins33
Draws32
Losses72

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-10-3
Biggest losses0-34-01-35-1
Goals For3233
Goals Against3435

Model comparison

MetricRotherhamNorthampton
Form33%67%
Att80%20%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h100%0%
Goals92%8%
Total59.4%40.6%

Advice: Double chance : Rotherham or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.19 @ 188Bet
Draw3.36 @ Pinnacle
Away3.75 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.34 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Pinnacle
No1.83 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rotherham = 1.22 (league 1.48), Northampton = 0.87 (league 1.12)

Northampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rotherham 0 12.3% 10.8% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.0% 13.1% 5.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.2% 8.0% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.7% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.0% · Draw 29.4% · Away win 26.4%

vtt 4 , vtd1