League One — England
Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 15:01 • Sixfields Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.88 (league 1.48) 0.98 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.2% 32.1% 36.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
15.5%
0 - 1
15.2%
1 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Stevenage
0 1 2 3 4 5
Northampton 0 15.5% 15.2% 7.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.7% 13.4% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.0% 5.9% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNorthamptonStevenage
Played55
Form7%33%
Attack31%23%
Defense23%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Northampton Stevenage
HATHAT
Played141529131528
Wins36%20%28%46%33%39%
Draws21%20%21%46%20%32%
Loses43%60%52%8%47%29%

Form: Northampton: LDLLWWWLWDLWLLWLWDLWLLDDLLLLD • Stevenage: WWWWLWDWWWLDLDWDLWDDLDLLDDWL

League goals

Metric Northampton Stevenage
HATHAT
GF total141226141630
GF avg1.00.80.91.11.11.1
GA total14243872027
GA avg1.01.61.30.51.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNorthamptonStevenage
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%69%68%64%
1.524%45%29%25%
2.57%10%11%7%
3.50%3%0%0%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNorthamptonStevenage
HATHAT
Clean sheets5497310
Failed to score5712369

Penalties

MetricNorthamptonStevenage
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricNorthamptonStevenage
Wins34
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-32-01-3
Biggest losses1-35-10-13-0
Goals For3323
Goals Against3523

Model comparison

MetricNorthamptonStevenage
Form17%83%
Att57%43%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h7%93%
Goals0%100%
Total34.0%66.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Stevenage

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ Betfair
Draw3.14 @ Marathonbet
Away2.44 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.60 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.52 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.23 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Northampton = 0.88 (league 1.48), Stevenage = 0.98 (league 1.12)

Stevenage
0 1 2 3 4 5
Northampton 0 15.5% 15.2% 7.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.7% 13.4% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.0% 5.9% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.2% · Draw 32.1% · Away win 36.6%

vtt 2 , vtd1