League One — England
Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 15:01 • Aesseal New York Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.80 (league 1.47) 1.51 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.8% 26.1% 53.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.1%
1 - 1
12.0%
0 - 2
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Cardiff
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rotherham 0 10.0% 15.1% 11.3% 5.7% 2.1% 0.6%
1 8.0% 12.0% 9.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 3.2% 4.8% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRotherhamCardiff
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack69%77%
Defense46%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rotherham Cardiff
HATHAT
Played141428151429
Wins36%21%29%80%43%62%
Draws36%14%25%7%36%21%
Loses29%64%46%13%21%17%

Form: Rotherham: WLLDLWLLLDWWWDWDDDLLLLLLLDWW • Cardiff: WDWWWWDLWLWWLLWWWWWLWWDWDWDWD

League goals

Metric Rotherham Cardiff
HATHAT
GF total181331351752
GF avg1.30.91.12.31.21.8
GA total192140161329
GA avg1.41.51.41.10.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRotherhamCardiff
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%79%90%62%
1.532%43%48%24%
2.57%18%28%14%
3.54%4%14%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRotherhamCardiff
HATHAT
Clean sheets3366511
Failed to score369123

Penalties

MetricRotherhamCardiff
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricRotherhamCardiff
Wins35
Draws31
Losses72

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-44-01-3
Biggest losses0-34-01-33-1
Goals For3443
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricRotherhamCardiff
Form44%56%
Att47%53%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h20%80%
Goals38%63%
Total37.7%62.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cardiff

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.70 @ Unibet
Draw3.57 @ Pinnacle
Away2.08 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.94 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ 188Bet
No2.12 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Rotherham = 0.80 (league 1.47), Cardiff = 1.51 (league 1.12)

Cardiff
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rotherham 0 10.0% 15.1% 11.3% 5.7% 2.1% 0.6%
1 8.0% 12.0% 9.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5%
2 3.2% 4.8% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.8% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 53.6%

vtt 3 , vtd1