League One — England
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 • Oakwell
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.44 (league 1.46) 1.74 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.6% 19.2% 26.5%
best score tips
2 - 1
7.9%
2 - 2
6.9%
1 - 1
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Wimbledon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barnsley 0 1.5% 2.7% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
1 3.7% 6.5% 5.6% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
2 4.5% 7.9% 6.9% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.7% 6.4% 5.6% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
4 2.3% 3.9% 3.4% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
5 1.1% 1.9% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarnsleyAFC Wimbledon
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack69%38%
Defense8%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barnsley AFC Wimbledon
HATHAT
Played131427141529
Wins54%21%37%36%40%38%
Draws15%36%26%21%13%17%
Loses31%43%37%43%47%45%

Form: Barnsley: WWDWLWWLLDDLWWDLWLLLDWDLWDL • AFC Wimbledon: LWWLWLLWWWWDWLLLDLDLDLWLLDLWW

League goals

Metric Barnsley AFC Wimbledon
HATHAT
GF total271744131932
GF avg2.11.21.60.91.31.1
GA total202646122638
GA avg1.51.91.70.91.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarnsleyAFC Wimbledon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%93%59%79%
1.556%56%41%28%
2.526%19%10%17%
3.54%4%0%3%
4.54%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarnsleyAFC Wimbledon
HATHAT
Clean sheets112426
Failed to score3477512

Penalties

MetricBarnsleyAFC Wimbledon
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricBarnsleyAFC Wimbledon
Wins24
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-32-01-3
Biggest losses0-24-01-25-0
Goals For5333
Goals Against3425

Model comparison

MetricBarnsleyAFC Wimbledon
Form42%58%
Att64%36%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Double chance : Barnsley or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ SBO
Draw3.75 @ Pinnacle
Away3.90 @ 888Sport

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.05 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ 188Bet
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Barnsley = 2.44 (league 1.46), AFC Wimbledon = 1.74 (league 1.12)

AFC Wimbledon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barnsley 0 1.5% 2.7% 2.3% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
1 3.7% 6.5% 5.6% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
2 4.5% 7.9% 6.9% 4.0% 1.7% 0.6%
3 3.7% 6.4% 5.6% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
4 2.3% 3.9% 3.4% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
5 1.1% 1.9% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.6% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 26.5%

vtt 2 , vtd1