League One — England
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 • St James Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.47) 0.64 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.7% 24.2% 14.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.8%
2 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Northampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Exeter City 0 10.3% 6.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.8% 10.8% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.7% 8.8% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.5% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricExeter CityNorthampton
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack62%46%
Defense46%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Exeter City Northampton
HATHAT
Played131629151530
Wins54%25%38%40%20%30%
Draws15%19%17%20%20%20%
Loses31%56%45%40%60%50%

Form: Exeter City: LWLWLWLLLLWDLWDLLWLWLWWDWWDLD • Northampton: LDLLWWWLWDLWLLWLWDLWLLDDLLLLDW

League goals

Metric Exeter City Northampton
HATHAT
GF total201333171229
GF avg1.50.81.11.10.81.0
GA total121830152439
GA avg0.91.11.01.01.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineExeter CityNorthampton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%66%60%70%
1.528%31%27%43%
2.517%3%10%10%
3.53%3%0%3%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricExeter CityNorthampton
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410549
Failed to score37105712

Penalties

MetricExeter CityNorthampton
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricExeter CityNorthampton
Wins23
Draws12
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-33-10-3
Biggest losses0-42-01-35-1
Goals For4333
Goals Against4235

Model comparison

MetricExeter CityNorthampton
Form67%33%
Att57%43%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total52.2%47.8%

Advice: Double chance : Exeter City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ 888Sport
Draw3.62 @ Pinnacle
Away4.20 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.80 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Exeter City = 1.63 (league 1.47), Northampton = 0.64 (league 1.12)

Northampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Exeter City 0 10.3% 6.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.8% 10.8% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.7% 8.8% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.5% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.7% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 14.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1