League One — England
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 • LNER stadium
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.47) 0.65 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.5% 23.1% 13.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.2%
2 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Bolton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lincoln 0 9.4% 6.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.2% 10.4% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 9.0% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.9% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLincolnBolton
Played55
Form87%87%
Attack92%62%
Defense69%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lincoln Bolton
HATHAT
Played151530161531
Wins73%47%60%69%27%48%
Draws20%27%23%25%40%32%
Loses7%27%17%6%33%19%

Form: Lincoln: WLWWDDDWWWLWLDLWLWWDWWWDWDWWWW • Bolton: LWDDDDWDWLWLWWWDDWWLWLDDLWDWWWW

League goals

Metric Lincoln Bolton
HATHAT
GF total312152291241
GF avg2.11.41.71.80.81.3
GA total141630111829
GA avg0.91.11.00.71.20.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLincolnBolton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%77%68%
1.557%27%35%19%
2.523%7%13%6%
3.57%0%6%0%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLincolnBolton
HATHAT
Clean sheets46106410
Failed to score145347

Penalties

MetricLincolnBolton
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricLincolnBolton
Wins33
Draws34
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-21-44-01-2
Biggest losses0-13-00-13-0
Goals For5442
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricLincolnBolton
Form50%50%
Att60%40%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%62%
Total49.7%50.3%

Advice: Double chance : Lincoln or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.46 @ 188Bet
Draw3.56 @ Pinnacle
Away2.93 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.89 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ 188Bet
No2.12 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lincoln = 1.72 (league 1.47), Bolton = 0.65 (league 1.12)

Bolton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lincoln 0 9.4% 6.1% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 16.2% 10.4% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.9% 9.0% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.9% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.5% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 13.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1