League One — England
Tue, Feb 17 2026 • 19:45 • Pirelli Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.12 (league 1.47) 1.21 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.8% 28.1% 37.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 1
11.7%
1 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Rotherham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burton Albion 0 9.7% 11.7% 7.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.9% 13.2% 8.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 6.1% 7.4% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.8% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurton AlbionRotherham
Played55
Form13%47%
Attack58%75%
Defense17%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burton Albion Rotherham
HATHAT
Played151530151429
Wins33%20%27%33%21%28%
Draws20%33%27%33%14%24%
Loses47%47%47%33%64%48%

Form: Burton Albion: WLDLLLDLWDWLWDWWLLDDWLLLWLLDLD • Rotherham: WLLDLWLLLDWWWDWDDDLLLLLLLDWWL

League goals

Metric Burton Albion Rotherham
HATHAT
GF total171633181331
GF avg1.11.11.11.20.91.1
GA total222345222143
GA avg1.51.51.51.51.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurton AlbionRotherham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%77%66%79%
1.533%50%31%45%
2.510%17%7%21%
3.53%7%3%3%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurton AlbionRotherham
HATHAT
Clean sheets437336
Failed to score84124610

Penalties

MetricBurton AlbionRotherham
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricBurton AlbionRotherham
Wins23
Draws23
Losses37

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-23-00-4
Biggest losses0-43-00-34-0
Goals For5234
Goals Against4334

Model comparison

MetricBurton AlbionRotherham
Form22%78%
Att44%56%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h62%38%
Goals55%45%
Total45.8%54.2%

Advice: Double chance : Burton Albion or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.19 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.46 @ Pinnacle
Away3.40 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Betfair
No2.02 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Burton Albion = 1.12 (league 1.47), Rotherham = 1.21 (league 1.12)

Rotherham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burton Albion 0 9.7% 11.7% 7.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.9% 13.2% 8.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 6.1% 7.4% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.8% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.8% · Draw 28.1% · Away win 37.9%

vtt 4 , vtd1