League One — England
Wed, Feb 18 2026 • 19:45 • The Brick Community Stadium
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.47) 0.89 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.4% 32.1% 31.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
15.5%
1 - 0
15.2%
0 - 1
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
Luton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wigan 0 15.5% 13.7% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.2% 13.4% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.4% 6.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWiganLuton
Played55
Form7%40%
Attack33%27%
Defense7%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Wigan Luton
HATHAT
Played141630161531
Wins36%13%23%56%27%42%
Draws21%44%33%25%13%19%
Loses43%44%43%19%60%39%

Form: Wigan: WLWLDDDWLLDLWDDWDWDLLWDLLDLLLL • Luton: WWLWLWLLWDLLWWDLWDDDLWWLWDLLWWL

League goals

Metric Wigan Luton
HATHAT
GF total131831241741
GF avg0.91.11.01.51.11.3
GA total123042142438
GA avg0.91.91.40.91.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWiganLuton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%80%74%65%
1.527%37%42%35%
2.510%10%13%16%
3.50%7%3%3%
4.50%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWiganLuton
HATHAT
Clean sheets5167411
Failed to score6410358

Penalties

MetricWiganLuton
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total05

Streaks

MetricWiganLuton
Wins12
Draws33
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-24-00-3
Biggest losses0-26-10-25-0
Goals For3343
Goals Against2635

Model comparison

MetricWiganLuton
Form14%86%
Att56%44%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total36.3%63.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Luton

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.72 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.77 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Wigan = 0.98 (league 1.47), Luton = 0.89 (league 1.12)

Luton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wigan 0 15.5% 13.7% 6.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.2% 13.4% 5.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.4% 6.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.4% · Draw 32.1% · Away win 31.4%

vtt 3 , vtd1