League One — England
Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 15:00 • Aesseal New York Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.47) 2.28 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.8% 19.2% 60.0%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.7%
1 - 1
8.5%
0 - 2
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Plymouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rotherham 0 3.3% 7.4% 8.5% 6.4% 3.7% 1.7%
1 3.7% 8.5% 9.7% 7.4% 4.2% 1.9%
2 2.1% 4.9% 5.5% 4.2% 2.4% 1.1%
3 0.8% 1.9% 2.1% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRotherhamPlymouth
Played55
Form20%60%
Attack45%100%
Defense36%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 114 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rotherham Plymouth
HATHAT
Played161632171633
Wins31%19%25%35%50%42%
Draws31%13%22%18%6%12%
Loses38%69%53%47%44%45%

Form: Rotherham: WLLDLWLLLDWWWDWDDDLLLLLLLDWWLLLL • Plymouth: LLLLWLWWLWDLLLLWLLWWWLDDWWWDLLWWW

League goals

Metric Rotherham Plymouth
HATHAT
GF total191332222749
GF avg1.20.81.01.31.71.5
GA total242347262349
GA avg1.51.41.51.51.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRotherhamPlymouth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%81%76%73%
1.528%44%27%45%
2.56%19%24%21%
3.53%3%15%9%
4.50%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRotherhamPlymouth
HATHAT
Clean sheets336459
Failed to score4812448

Penalties

MetricRotherhamPlymouth
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricRotherhamPlymouth
Wins33
Draws32
Losses74

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-45-21-5
Biggest losses0-34-01-44-0
Goals For3455
Goals Against3444

Model comparison

MetricRotherhamPlymouth
Form25%75%
Att26%74%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h40%60%
Goals50%50%
Total38.3%61.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Plymouth

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.40 @ Betfair
Draw3.69 @ Pinnacle
Away2.12 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.98 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Pinnacle
No2.11 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rotherham = 1.14 (league 1.47), Plymouth = 2.28 (league 1.12)

Plymouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rotherham 0 3.3% 7.4% 8.5% 6.4% 3.7% 1.7%
1 3.7% 8.5% 9.7% 7.4% 4.2% 1.9%
2 2.1% 4.9% 5.5% 4.2% 2.4% 1.1%
3 0.8% 1.9% 2.1% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.8% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 60.0%

vtt 5 , vtd1