League One — England
Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 12:00 • The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.47) 0.56 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.8% 30.9% 17.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.7%
0 - 0
17.3%
2 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Northampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Wimbledon 0 17.3% 9.6% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.7% 11.5% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.4% 6.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.0% 2.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAFC WimbledonNorthampton
Played55
Form53%13%
Attack71%12%
Defense29%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AFC Wimbledon Northampton
HATHAT
Played151833181735
Wins40%33%36%33%18%26%
Draws20%22%21%22%24%23%
Loses40%44%42%44%59%51%

Form: AFC Wimbledon: LWWLWLLWWWWDWLLLDLDLDLWLLDLWWDLWD • Northampton: LDLLWWWLWDLWLLWLWDLWLLDDLLLLDWDLLLD

League goals

Metric AFC Wimbledon Northampton
HATHAT
GF total162541191231
GF avg1.11.41.21.10.70.9
GA total133548192847
GA avg0.91.91.51.11.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAFC WimbledonNorthampton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%82%57%71%
1.545%33%23%43%
2.515%21%9%11%
3.50%6%0%6%
4.50%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAFC WimbledonNorthampton
HATHAT
Clean sheets4265510
Failed to score75126915

Penalties

MetricAFC WimbledonNorthampton
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricAFC WimbledonNorthampton
Wins43
Draws12
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-33-10-3
Biggest losses1-25-01-35-1
Goals For3333
Goals Against2535

Model comparison

MetricAFC WimbledonNorthampton
Form80%20%
Att86%14%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution68%32%
H2h29%71%
Goals30%70%
Total55.5%44.5%

Advice: Double chance : AFC Wimbledon or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.97 @ Unibet
Draw3.52 @ Pinnacle
Away4.13 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): AFC Wimbledon = 1.20 (league 1.47), Northampton = 0.56 (league 1.13)

Northampton
0 1 2 3 4 5
AFC Wimbledon 0 17.3% 9.6% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.7% 11.5% 3.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.4% 6.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 5.0% 2.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.8% · Draw 30.9% · Away win 17.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1