League One — England
Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 15:00 • Oakwell
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.71 (league 1.48) 1.29 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.6% 23.7% 28.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Exeter City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barnsley 0 5.0% 6.4% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 8.6% 11.0% 7.1% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.3% 9.4% 6.0% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.2% 5.4% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.3% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBarnsleyExeter City
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack92%42%
Defense17%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Barnsley Exeter City
HATHAT
Played151631161733
Wins53%25%39%44%24%33%
Draws20%31%26%25%24%24%
Loses27%44%35%31%53%42%

Form: Barnsley: WWDWLWWLLDDLWWDLWLLLDWDLWDLDWLW • Exeter City: LWLWLWLLLLWDLWDLLWLWLWWDWWDLDDDDL

League goals

Metric Barnsley Exeter City
HATHAT
GF total322153221638
GF avg2.11.31.71.40.91.2
GA total242953182139
GA avg1.61.81.71.11.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBarnsleyExeter City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%94%67%67%
1.558%55%27%33%
2.529%19%18%9%
3.53%3%3%6%
4.53%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBarnsleyExeter City
HATHAT
Clean sheets1127411
Failed to score3474711

Penalties

MetricBarnsleyExeter City
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricBarnsleyExeter City
Wins22
Draws24
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-34-11-3
Biggest losses0-24-01-52-0
Goals For5343
Goals Against3453

Model comparison

MetricBarnsleyExeter City
Form64%36%
Att69%31%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h40%60%
Goals38%62%
Total52.3%47.7%

Advice: Double chance : Barnsley or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ Unibet
Draw3.80 @ Betfair
Away3.80 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.16 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.25 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Barnsley = 1.71 (league 1.48), Exeter City = 1.29 (league 1.12)

Exeter City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Barnsley 0 5.0% 6.4% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 8.6% 11.0% 7.1% 3.0% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.3% 9.4% 6.0% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.2% 5.4% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.3% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.6% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 28.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1