League One — England
Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 15:00 • Pirelli Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.47) 1.28 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.1% 27.0% 37.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 1
10.5%
1 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Stevenage
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burton Albion 0 8.2% 10.5% 6.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.0% 12.8% 8.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.1% 7.8% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.5% 3.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurton AlbionStevenage
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack58%58%
Defense50%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burton Albion Stevenage
HATHAT
Played171734161733
Wins41%18%29%56%29%42%
Draws18%35%26%38%18%27%
Loses41%47%44%6%53%30%

Form: Burton Albion: WLDLLLDLWDWLWDWWLLDDWLLLWLLDLDWDWL • Stevenage: WWWWLWDWWWLDLDWDLWDDLDLLDDWLLWWLW

League goals

Metric Burton Albion Stevenage
HATHAT
GF total211738191837
GF avg1.21.01.11.21.11.1
GA total22274992635
GA avg1.31.61.40.61.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurton AlbionStevenage
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%74%73%67%
1.532%47%30%27%
2.512%18%9%12%
3.53%6%0%0%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurton AlbionStevenage
HATHAT
Clean sheets6398311
Failed to score8513369

Penalties

MetricBurton AlbionStevenage
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricBurton AlbionStevenage
Wins24
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-22-01-3
Biggest losses0-43-00-13-0
Goals For5223
Goals Against4323

Model comparison

MetricBurton AlbionStevenage
Form47%53%
Att50%50%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h62%38%
Goals42%58%
Total51.3%48.7%

Advice: Double chance : Burton Albion or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.10 @ Unibet
Draw3.20 @ Betfair
Away2.55 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.60 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Bet365
No1.81 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Burton Albion = 1.23 (league 1.47), Stevenage = 1.28 (league 1.12)

Stevenage
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burton Albion 0 8.2% 10.5% 6.7% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.0% 12.8% 8.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.1% 7.8% 5.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 2.5% 3.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.1% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 37.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1