League One
— England
Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 15:00 •
Kenilworth Road
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.46)
1.18 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.1% | 25.2% | 29.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
10.1%
2 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Reading | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Luton | 0 | 6.6% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.1% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Luton | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 73% |
| Attack | 50% | 90% |
| Defense | 30% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Luton | Reading | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 17 | 17 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 34 |
| Wins | 53% | 24% | 38% | 50% | 25% | 38% |
| Draws | 29% | 18% | 24% | 33% | 38% | 35% |
| Loses | 18% | 59% | 38% | 17% | 38% | 26% |
LutonWWLWLWLLWDLLWWDLWDDDLWWLWDLLWWLLDD
ReadingLLLDDWLWDDDLWDWDWLLWWDWWLDDWLWWDDW
League goals
| Metric | Luton | Reading | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 18 | 43 | 26 | 24 | 50 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 15 | 26 | 41 | 20 | 24 | 44 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Luton | Reading | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 68% | 91% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 32% | 41% | 41% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 15% | 12% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 3% | 3% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Luton | Reading | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Luton | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Luton | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Luton | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 48.3% | 51.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.86 @ 188Bet
Draw3.78 @ Pinnacle
Away4.33 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.94 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.96 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.04 @ Unibet
📊
League standings
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