League One — England
Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 15:00 • Sixfields Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.20 (league 1.47) 0.98 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.7% 29.1% 30.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Burton Albion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Northampton 0 11.3% 11.1% 5.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.5% 13.3% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.1% 8.0% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.2% 3.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNorthamptonBurton Albion
Played55
Form7%33%
Attack17%42%
Defense25%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Northampton Burton Albion
HATHAT
Played181836181836
Wins33%17%25%39%17%28%
Draws22%22%22%17%39%28%
Loses44%61%53%44%44%44%

Form: Northampton: LDLLWWWLWDLWLLWLWDLWLLDDLLLLDWDLLLDL • Burton Albion: WLDLLLDLWDWLWDWWLLDDWLLLWLLDLDWDWLDL

League goals

Metric Northampton Burton Albion
HATHAT
GF total191231211839
GF avg1.10.70.91.21.01.1
GA total192948232851
GA avg1.11.61.31.31.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNorthamptonBurton Albion
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%72%61%75%
1.522%42%31%44%
2.58%11%11%17%
3.50%6%3%6%
4.50%3%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNorthamptonBurton Albion
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510639
Failed to score610169514

Penalties

MetricNorthamptonBurton Albion
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricNorthamptonBurton Albion
Wins32
Draws22
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-35-11-2
Biggest losses1-35-10-43-0
Goals For3352
Goals Against3543

Model comparison

MetricNorthamptonBurton Albion
Form17%83%
Att29%71%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h50%50%
Goals38%63%
Total38.0%62.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Burton Albion

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.95 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.59 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.92 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Northampton = 1.20 (league 1.47), Burton Albion = 0.98 (league 1.12)

Burton Albion
0 1 2 3 4 5
Northampton 0 11.3% 11.1% 5.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
1 13.5% 13.3% 6.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.1% 8.0% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 3.2% 3.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.7% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 30.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1