League One
— England
Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 19:45 •
Pirelli Stadium
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.46)
1.74 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.9% | 23.6% | 48.5% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Reading | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Burton Albion | 0 | 5.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Burton Albion | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 53% |
| Attack | 42% | 58% |
| Defense | 50% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
77%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Burton Albion | Reading | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 18 | 18 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 36 |
| Wins | 39% | 17% | 28% | 50% | 28% | 39% |
| Draws | 17% | 39% | 28% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 44% | 44% | 44% | 17% | 39% | 28% |
Form: Burton Albion: WLDLLLDLWDWLWDWWLLDDWLLLWLLDLDWDWLDL • Reading: LLLDDWLWDDDLWDWDWLLWWDWWLDDWLWWDDWWL
League goals
| Metric | Burton Albion | Reading | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 18 | 39 | 26 | 27 | 53 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 23 | 28 | 51 | 20 | 27 | 47 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Burton Albion | Reading | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 61% | 75% | 89% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 44% | 42% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 17% | 14% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 6% | 3% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Burton Albion | Reading | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 9 | 5 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Burton Albion | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Burton Albion | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Burton Albion | Reading |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 62% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 44.0% | 56.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Reading
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Burton Albion = 1.23 (league 1.46), Reading = 1.74 (league 1.12)
| Reading | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Burton Albion | 0 | 5.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 6.3% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.9% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 48.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1