League One — England
Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 19:45 • Kenilworth Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.33 (league 1.47) 0.80 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.0% 28.3% 22.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.9%
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Exeter City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luton 0 11.9% 9.5% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.9% 12.6% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.6% 8.4% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.7% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLutonExeter City
Played55
Form40%7%
Attack50%21%
Defense50%7%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.413 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Luton Exeter City
HATHAT
Played181937191837
Wins50%26%38%37%22%30%
Draws28%21%24%26%22%24%
Loses22%53%38%37%56%46%

Form: Luton: WWLWLWLLWDLLWWDLWDDDLWWLWDLLWWLLDDLDW • Exeter City: LWLWLWLLLLWDLWDLLWLWLWWDWWDLDDDDLDLLL

League goals

Metric Luton Exeter City
HATHAT
GF total272148231740
GF avg1.51.11.31.20.91.1
GA total182846242347
GA avg1.01.51.21.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLutonExeter City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%70%65%70%
1.541%32%24%35%
2.511%16%16%11%
3.53%3%3%8%
4.50%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLutonExeter City
HATHAT
Clean sheets74117411
Failed to score3696713

Penalties

MetricLutonExeter City
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricLutonExeter City
Wins22
Draws34
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-34-11-3
Biggest losses0-25-01-52-0
Goals For4343
Goals Against3553

Model comparison

MetricLutonExeter City
Form86%14%
Att70%30%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h60%40%
Goals75%25%
Total69.3%30.7%

Advice: Double chance : Luton or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.69 @ 188Bet
Draw4.15 @ Pinnacle
Away5.18 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No2.16 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Luton = 1.33 (league 1.47), Exeter City = 0.80 (league 1.13)

Exeter City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luton 0 11.9% 9.5% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.9% 12.6% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.6% 8.4% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.7% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.0% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 22.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1