League One — England
Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 15:00 • Vale Park
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.47) 1.26 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.3% 29.6% 50.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.6%
0 - 0
14.7%
1 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Bolton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Port Vale 0 14.7% 18.6% 11.7% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4%
1 9.6% 12.1% 7.7% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 3.1% 4.0% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPort ValeBolton
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack31%92%
Defense54%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Port Vale Bolton
HATHAT
Played181735191938
Wins11%24%17%63%26%45%
Draws39%18%29%32%47%39%
Loses50%59%54%5%26%16%

Form: Port Vale: LDDLLLLWWWDDLLLDLLDLLLWLLWLDLDWDLDL • Bolton: LWDDDDWDWLWLWWWDDWWLWLDDLWDWWWWDDDWWDD

League goals

Metric Port Vale Bolton
HATHAT
GF total151328342155
GF avg0.80.80.81.81.11.4
GA total232649152338
GA avg1.31.51.40.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePort ValeBolton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.549%74%79%71%
1.523%37%39%24%
2.53%20%16%5%
3.53%6%8%0%
4.53%3%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPort ValeBolton
HATHAT
Clean sheets4597411
Failed to score10818448

Penalties

MetricPort ValeBolton
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricPort ValeBolton
Wins34
Draws24
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-24-01-5
Biggest losses0-35-00-13-0
Goals For5245
Goals Against3523

Model comparison

MetricPort ValeBolton
Form36%64%
Att25%75%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h20%80%
Goals8%92%
Total29.7%70.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bolton

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.70 @ 10Bet
Draw4.14 @ Pinnacle
Away1.62 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.10 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Betfair
No2.01 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Port Vale = 0.65 (league 1.47), Bolton = 1.26 (league 1.13)

Bolton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Port Vale 0 14.7% 18.6% 11.7% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4%
1 9.6% 12.1% 7.7% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3%
2 3.1% 4.0% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.3% · Draw 29.6% · Away win 50.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1