League One
— England
Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 18:45 •
Toughsheet Community Stadium
Expected Goals
1.73 (league 1.46)
0.81 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.3% | 23.5% | 17.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.6%
2 - 0
11.8%
1 - 1
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Stevenage | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bolton | 0 | 7.9% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.6% | 11.1% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.8% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bolton | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 60% | 30% |
| Defense | 40% | 90% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bolton | Stevenage | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 20 | 21 | 41 | 20 | 20 | 40 |
| Wins | 60% | 29% | 44% | 60% | 30% | 45% |
| Draws | 35% | 43% | 39% | 30% | 20% | 25% |
| Loses | 5% | 29% | 17% | 10% | 50% | 30% |
Form: Bolton: LWDDDDWDWLWLWWWDDWWLWLDDLWDWWWWDDDWWDDLWD • Stevenage: WWWWLWDWWWLDLDWDLWDDLDLLDDWLLWWLWWLWLWDW
League goals
| Metric | Bolton | Stevenage | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 36 | 23 | 59 | 23 | 19 | 42 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 17 | 25 | 42 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bolton | Stevenage | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 73% | 73% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 24% | 25% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 5% | 8% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bolton | Stevenage | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bolton | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bolton | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-5 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bolton | Stevenage |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 14% | 86% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 55.0% | 45.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Bolton or draw and -3.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bolton = 1.73 (league 1.46), Stevenage = 0.81 (league 1.11)
| Stevenage | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bolton | 0 | 7.9% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.6% | 11.1% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.8% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.3% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 17.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1