League One — England
Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 14:00 • Pirelli Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.47) 1.65 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.8% 23.6% 41.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
1 - 2
8.8%
2 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Barnsley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burton Albion 0 4.4% 7.3% 6.0% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
1 6.5% 10.7% 8.8% 4.9% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.8% 7.9% 6.5% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5%
3 2.3% 3.9% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBurton AlbionBarnsley
Played55
Form40%40%
Attack50%60%
Defense50%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Burton Albion Barnsley
HATHAT
Played202040201737
Wins40%20%30%45%24%35%
Draws15%35%25%25%35%30%
Loses45%45%45%30%41%35%

Form: Burton Albion: WLDLLLDLWDWLWDWWLLDDWLLLWLLDLDWDWLDLWLWL • Barnsley: WWDWLWWLLDDLWWDLWLLLDWDLWDLDWLWLWDDDL

League goals

Metric Burton Albion Barnsley
HATHAT
GF total242044362359
GF avg1.21.01.11.81.41.6
GA total262955293160
GA avg1.31.51.41.51.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBurton AlbionBarnsley
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%75%76%95%
1.533%43%54%49%
2.510%15%24%16%
3.53%5%3%3%
4.53%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBurton AlbionBarnsley
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410112
Failed to score9615549

Penalties

MetricBurton AlbionBarnsley
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricBurton AlbionBarnsley
Wins22
Draws23
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-25-01-3
Biggest losses0-43-00-24-0
Goals For5253
Goals Against4334

Model comparison

MetricBurton AlbionBarnsley
Form50%50%
Att45%55%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h7%93%
Goals29%71%
Total39.0%61.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Barnsley

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.26 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Dafabet
Away3.25 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.99 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Burton Albion = 1.47 (league 1.47), Barnsley = 1.65 (league 1.10)

Barnsley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Burton Albion 0 4.4% 7.3% 6.0% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5%
1 6.5% 10.7% 8.8% 4.9% 2.0% 0.7%
2 4.8% 7.9% 6.5% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5%
3 2.3% 3.9% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.8% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 41.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1