League One — England
Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 14:00 • LNER stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.15 (league 1.46) 0.94 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.5% 11.7% 7.7%
best score tips
3 - 0
8.7%
2 - 0
8.3%
3 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
AFC Wimbledon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lincoln 0 1.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.3% 4.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.3% 7.8% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.7% 8.2% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 6.9% 6.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.3% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLincolnAFC Wimbledon
Played55
Form87%27%
Attack92%58%
Defense75%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lincoln AFC Wimbledon
HATHAT
Played201939192039
Wins75%53%64%42%30%36%
Draws20%26%23%21%20%21%
Loses5%21%13%37%50%44%

Form: Lincoln: WLWWDDDWWWLWLDLWLWWDWWWDWDWWWWDWWWWWWDW • AFC Wimbledon: LWWLWLLWWWWDWLLLDLDLDLWLLDLWWDLWDWWLLDL

League goals

Metric Lincoln AFC Wimbledon
HATHAT
GF total462874242549
GF avg2.31.51.91.31.31.3
GA total161834193958
GA avg0.80.90.91.02.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLincolnAFC Wimbledon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%59%64%82%
1.562%23%44%33%
2.528%5%15%23%
3.510%0%3%8%
4.53%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLincolnAFC Wimbledon
HATHAT
Clean sheets7916527
Failed to score1457714

Penalties

MetricLincolnAFC Wimbledon
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricLincolnAFC Wimbledon
Wins64
Draws31
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-44-11-3
Biggest losses0-13-02-45-0
Goals For5443
Goals Against2345

Model comparison

MetricLincolnAFC Wimbledon
Form76%24%
Att61%39%
Def77%23%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total65.2%34.8%

Advice: Double chance : Lincoln or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ Bet365
Draw4.80 @ Pinnacle
Away8.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.01 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ Betano
No1.81 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lincoln = 3.15 (league 1.46), AFC Wimbledon = 0.94 (league 1.11)

AFC Wimbledon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lincoln 0 1.7% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.3% 4.9% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.3% 7.8% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.7% 8.2% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 6.9% 6.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.3% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.5% · Draw 11.7% · Away win 7.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1