League One
— England
Wed, Apr 15 2026 • 18:45 •
Kenilworth Road
Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.46)
0.63 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.7% | 21.2% | 11.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.4%
2 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Northampton | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Luton | 0 | 8.2% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.4% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.3% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.9% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Luton | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 0% |
| Attack | 100% | 30% |
| Defense | 50% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Luton | Northampton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 21 | 20 | 41 | 20 | 21 | 41 |
| Wins | 52% | 30% | 41% | 30% | 14% | 22% |
| Draws | 29% | 20% | 24% | 20% | 19% | 20% |
| Loses | 19% | 50% | 34% | 50% | 67% | 59% |
Form: Luton: WWLWLWLLWDLLWWDLWDDDLWWLWDLLWWLLDDLDWWDWW • Northampton: LDLLWWWLWDLWLLWLWDLWLLDDLLLLDWDLLLDLLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Luton | Northampton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 33 | 24 | 57 | 20 | 14 | 34 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 22 | 28 | 50 | 24 | 36 | 60 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Luton | Northampton | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 71% | 56% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 32% | 20% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 15% | 15% | 7% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 2% | 2% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 2% | 0% | 2% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Luton | Northampton | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 5 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 18 |
Penalties
| Metric | Luton | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Luton | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-0 | 1-3 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Luton | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 79% | 21% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 79.4% | 20.6% |
Advice: Winner : Luton
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Luton = 1.86 (league 1.46), Northampton = 0.63 (league 1.11)
| Northampton | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Luton | 0 | 8.2% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.4% | 9.7% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.3% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.9% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.7% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 11.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1