League One — England
Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 11:30 • Home Park
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.46) 1.14 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.2% 27.0% 31.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
1 - 0
11.3%
0 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Exeter City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Plymouth 0 8.4% 9.5% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.3% 12.8% 7.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.6% 8.6% 4.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.4% 3.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPlymouthExeter City
Played55
Form67%7%
Attack100%20%
Defense50%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Plymouth Exeter City
HATHAT
Played211940202141
Wins43%47%45%35%19%27%
Draws14%11%13%30%19%24%
Loses43%42%43%35%62%49%

Form: Plymouth: LLLLWLWWLWDLLLLWLLWWWLDDWWWDLLWWWLWWDWWL • Exeter City: LWLWLWLLLLWDLWDLLWLWLWWDWWDLDDDDLDLLLLLDL

League goals

Metric Plymouth Exeter City
HATHAT
GF total293261231942
GF avg1.41.71.51.20.91.0
GA total302656242953
GA avg1.41.41.41.21.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePlymouthExeter City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%73%61%71%
1.533%43%24%37%
2.525%18%15%12%
3.513%8%2%7%
4.55%0%0%2%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPlymouthExeter City
HATHAT
Clean sheets56118412
Failed to score4597916

Penalties

MetricPlymouthExeter City
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricPlymouthExeter City
Wins32
Draws24
Losses45

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-21-54-11-3
Biggest losses1-44-01-52-0
Goals For5543
Goals Against4453

Model comparison

MetricPlymouthExeter City
Form91%9%
Att83%17%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h50%50%
Goals38%62%
Total63.5%36.5%

Advice: Double chance : Plymouth or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.60 @ William Hill
Draw4.45 @ Pinnacle
Away5.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.25 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Plymouth = 1.34 (league 1.46), Exeter City = 1.14 (league 1.11)

Exeter City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Plymouth 0 8.4% 9.5% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.3% 12.8% 7.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.6% 8.6% 4.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.4% 3.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.2% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 31.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1