League One
— England
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Bloomfield Road
Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.45)
1.37 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.8% | 22.6% | 28.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 0
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Leyton Orient | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Blackpool | 0 | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Blackpool carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 69 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Blackpool +35.0, Leyton Orient -35.5.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Blackpool
vs
Leyton Orient
Elo gapBlackpool +69
Home / draw / away47% / 22% / 31%
Expected home share60%
Combined Elo3008.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3008.9
Elo home share
60%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Blackpool | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1521.2 | 1487.7 |
| Form Elo | 1539.6 | 1486 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1545.9 | 1508.9 |
| Attack Elo | 1527.7 | 1542.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1498.6 | 1491.1 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +35.0 | -35.5 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Blackpool last-5 Elo change: +35.0; Leyton Orient last-5 Elo change: -35.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Blackpool | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 13% |
| Attack | 75% | 25% |
| Defense | 75% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Blackpool | Leyton Orient | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 22 | 22 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 44 |
| Wins | 50% | 18% | 34% | 36% | 27% | 32% |
| Draws | 23% | 18% | 20% | 27% | 14% | 20% |
| Loses | 27% | 64% | 45% | 36% | 59% | 48% |
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Leyton OrientLWDWLLWDLLLWLWLWDWDLWLLLDWLLLDLWLLWWWWDDLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Blackpool | Leyton Orient | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 34 | 18 | 52 | 30 | 27 | 57 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 29 | 36 | 65 | 28 | 40 | 68 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Blackpool | Leyton Orient | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 70% | 75% | 73% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 43% | 36% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 16% | 14% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 2% | 11% | 7% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Blackpool | Leyton Orient | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 10 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Blackpool | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Blackpool | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 5-1 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Blackpool | Leyton Orient |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 86% | 14% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 22% | 78% |
| Total | 55.0% | 45.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.62 @ Bet365
Draw3.30 @ Betfair
Away2.99 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.01 @ SBO
Under 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.75 @ Betfair
No2.10 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
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