League One
— England
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 •
Kenilworth Road
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.46)
1.14 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.9% | 23.5% | 24.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
1 - 0
9.7%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Barnsley | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Luton | 0 | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 9.7% | 11.1% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.5% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Luton | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 63% |
| Defense | 50% | 13% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Luton | Barnsley | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 22 | 22 | 44 | 22 | 21 | 43 |
| Wins | 55% | 32% | 43% | 41% | 24% | 33% |
| Draws | 27% | 23% | 25% | 27% | 38% | 33% |
| Loses | 18% | 45% | 32% | 32% | 38% | 35% |
LutonWWLWLWLLWDLLWWDLWDDDLWWLWDLLWWLLDDLDWWDWWWDW
BarnsleyWWDWLWWLLDDLWWDLWLLLDWDLWDLDWLWLWDDDLDLWDDL
League goals
| Metric | Luton | Barnsley | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 35 | 28 | 63 | 38 | 27 | 65 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 23 | 30 | 53 | 34 | 34 | 68 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Luton | Barnsley | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 70% | 72% | 93% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 32% | 51% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 14% | 23% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 2% | 2% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Luton | Barnsley | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Luton | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Luton | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 5-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-0 | 0-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Luton | Barnsley |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 72% | 28% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 38% | 62% |
| Total | 60.3% | 39.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.49 @ Dafabet
Draw4.80 @ Unibet
Away7.00 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.50 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ 888Sport
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League standings
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