League One — England
Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 14:00 • Kenilworth Road
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.46) 1.14 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.9% 23.5% 24.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
1 - 0
9.7%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Barnsley
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luton 0 5.5% 6.3% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.7% 11.1% 6.3% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.5% 9.7% 5.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.0% 5.7% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLutonBarnsley
Played55
Form87%33%
Attack100%63%
Defense50%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Luton Barnsley
HATHAT
Played222244222143
Wins55%32%43%41%24%33%
Draws27%23%25%27%38%33%
Loses18%45%32%32%38%35%
LutonWWLWLWLLWDLLWWDLWDDDLWWLWDLLWWLLDDLDWWDWWWDW
BarnsleyWWDWLWWLLDDLWWDLWLLLDWDLWDLDWLWLWDDDLDLWDDL

League goals

Metric Luton Barnsley
HATHAT
GF total352863382765
GF avg1.61.31.41.71.31.5
GA total233053343468
GA avg1.01.41.21.51.61.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLutonBarnsley
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%70%72%93%
1.548%32%51%47%
2.514%14%23%16%
3.52%2%2%2%
4.50%2%2%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLutonBarnsley
HATHAT
Clean sheets7613123
Failed to score3696612

Penalties

MetricLutonBarnsley
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total61

Streaks

MetricLutonBarnsley
Wins32
Draws33
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-35-01-3
Biggest losses0-25-00-34-0
Goals For4353
Goals Against3534

Model comparison

MetricLutonBarnsley
Form72%28%
Att69%31%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h60%40%
Goals38%62%
Total60.3%39.7%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.49 @ Dafabet
Draw4.80 @ Unibet
Away7.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.50 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ 888Sport
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League standings

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