Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 15:15 • Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.73) 0.75 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.1% 39.3% 35.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.5%
0 - 1
19.9%
1 - 0
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
Toulouse
0 1 2 3 4 5
Auxerre 0 26.5% 19.9% 7.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.3% 11.5% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.4% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAuxerreToulouse
Played44
Form25%50%
Attack17%39%
Defense67%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.87 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.58 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Auxerre Toulouse
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%0%25%50%50%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses50%100%75%50%50%50%

Form: Auxerre: WLLL • Toulouse: WWLL

League goals

Metric Auxerre Toulouse
HATHAT
GF total213527
GF avg1.00.50.82.51.01.8
GA total246628
GA avg1.02.01.53.01.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAuxerreToulouse
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%100%50%
1.50%50%50%50%
2.50%25%25%25%
3.50%0%0%25%
4.50%0%0%25%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAuxerreToulouse
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricAuxerreToulouse
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAuxerreToulouse
Wins12
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—2-00-1
Biggest losses1-23-13-62-1
Goals For1131
Goals Against2362

Model comparison

MetricAuxerreToulouse
Form33%67%
Att30%70%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h15%85%
Goals25%75%
Total32.8%67.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Toulouse

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.26 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.54 @ 1xBet
Away2.39 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.86 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.82 @ Unibet
No2.10 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Auxerre = 0.58 (league 1.73), Toulouse = 0.75 (league 1.33)

Toulouse
0 1 2 3 4 5
Auxerre 0 26.5% 19.9% 7.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 15.3% 11.5% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 4.4% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.1% · Draw 39.3% · Away win 35.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1