Ligue 1 — France
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 17:00 • Stade Francis-Le Blé
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.45 (league 1.74) 1.89 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.1% 14.3% 17.0%
best score tips
3 - 1
6.2%
3 - 2
5.9%
2 - 1
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
Nice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stade Brestois 29 0 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 1.7% 3.1% 3.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
2 2.9% 5.4% 5.1% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6%
3 3.3% 6.2% 5.9% 3.7% 1.7% 0.7%
4 2.8% 5.4% 5.1% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6%
5 2.0% 3.7% 3.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStade Brestois 29Nice
Played44
Form8%50%
Attack42%42%
Defense17%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.35 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 2.55 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

87%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stade Brestois 29 Nice
HATHAT
Played224314
Wins0%0%0%67%0%50%
Draws50%0%25%0%0%0%
Loses50%100%75%33%100%50%

Form: Stade Brestois 29: DLLL • Nice: LWLW

League goals

Metric Stade Brestois 29 Nice
HATHAT
GF total415415
GF avg2.00.51.31.31.01.3
GA total5510235
GA avg2.52.52.50.73.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStade Brestois 29Nice
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%100%75%75%
1.525%100%25%25%
2.525%50%25%25%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStade Brestois 29Nice
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricStade Brestois 29Nice
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricStade Brestois 29Nice
Wins01
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——3-1—
Biggest losses1-23-10-13-1
Goals For3131
Goals Against3313

Model comparison

MetricStade Brestois 29Nice
Form14%86%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h25%75%
Goals0%100%
Total36.4%63.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Nice and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.30 @ 188Bet
Draw3.72 @ 1xBet
Away2.33 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Pinnacle
No2.51 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.27 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stade Brestois 29 = 3.45 (league 1.74), Nice = 1.89 (league 1.33)

Nice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stade Brestois 29 0 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
1 1.7% 3.1% 3.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
2 2.9% 5.4% 5.1% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6%
3 3.3% 6.2% 5.9% 3.7% 1.7% 0.7%
4 2.8% 5.4% 5.1% 3.2% 1.5% 0.6%
5 2.0% 3.7% 3.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.1% · Draw 14.3% · Away win 17.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1