Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 19:05 • Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Match Finished
3 - 0
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.75) 3.76 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.5% 12.2% 56.8%
best score tips
1 - 3
6.4%
1 - 4
6.0%
2 - 3
5.5%
Score & goals probability table
Lille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lens 0 0.4% 1.6% 3.0% 3.7% 3.5% 2.6%
1 0.7% 2.7% 5.1% 6.4% 6.0% 4.5%
2 0.6% 2.3% 4.4% 5.5% 5.1% 3.9%
3 0.4% 1.3% 2.5% 3.1% 2.9% 2.2%
4 0.2% 0.6% 1.1% 1.3% 1.3% 1.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLensLille
Played44
Form50%83%
Attack42%100%
Defense58%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.313 | 3.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.35 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

84%
FT probability

3.5+

60%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lens Lille
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins50%50%50%100%50%75%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%25%
Loses50%50%50%0%0%0%

Form: Lens: LWWL • Lille: DWWW

League goals

Metric Lens Lille
HATHAT
GF total32531013
GF avg1.51.01.31.55.03.3
GA total235145
GA avg1.01.51.30.52.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLensLille
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%100%75%
1.550%25%75%25%
2.525%0%50%25%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLensLille
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricLensLille
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLensLille
Wins20
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-22-11-7
Biggest losses0-12-0
Goals For3227
Goals Against1213

Model comparison

MetricLensLille
Form38%63%
Att28%72%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h15%85%
Goals30%70%
Total31.3%68.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Lille and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.41 @ 1xBet
Draw3.64 @ 1xBet
Away3.14 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Pinnacle
No2.35 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.10 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lens = 1.72 (league 1.75), Lille = 3.76 (league 1.33)

Lille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lens 0 0.4% 1.6% 3.0% 3.7% 3.5% 2.6%
1 0.7% 2.7% 5.1% 6.4% 6.0% 4.5%
2 0.6% 2.3% 4.4% 5.5% 5.1% 3.9%
3 0.4% 1.3% 2.5% 3.1% 2.9% 2.2%
4 0.2% 0.6% 1.1% 1.3% 1.3% 1.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.5% · Draw 12.2% · Away win 56.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1