Ligue 1 — France
Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 18:45 • Groupama Stadium
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.72) 0.31 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.1% 32.0% 9.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
26.7%
0 - 0
23.0%
2 - 0
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
Angers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lyon 0 23.0% 7.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.7% 8.2% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.5% 4.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLyonAngers
Played44
Form75%42%
Attack50%25%
Defense75%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.53 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.83 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lyon Angers
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%50%75%50%0%25%
Draws0%0%0%50%50%50%
Loses0%50%25%0%50%25%

Form: Lyon: WWWL • Angers: WLDD

League goals

Metric Lyon Angers
HATHAT
GF total426213
GF avg2.01.01.51.00.50.8
GA total033123
GA avg0.01.50.80.51.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLyonAngers
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%25%75%75%
1.525%25%0%0%
2.525%25%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLyonAngers
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricLyonAngers
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricLyonAngers
Wins31
Draws00
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-11-0—
Biggest losses—3-1—1-0
Goals For3111
Goals Against0311

Model comparison

MetricLyonAngers
Form64%36%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h100%0%
Goals84%16%
Total66.3%33.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Lyon or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ 1xBet
Draw5.00 @ Dafabet
Away8.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.21 @ Dafabet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ Pinnacle
No1.86 @ Dafabet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lyon = 1.16 (league 1.72), Angers = 0.31 (league 1.30)

Angers
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lyon 0 23.0% 7.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.7% 8.2% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.5% 4.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.0% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.1% · Draw 32.0% · Away win 9.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1