Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 15:15 • Stade Louis-II
Match Finished
5 - 2
Expected Goals
5.16 (league 1.75) 1.13 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.9% 4.3% 2.5%
best score tips
5 - 1
6.4%
4 - 1
6.2%
5 - 0
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
Metz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monaco 0 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.5% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.3% 4.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.5% 6.2% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 5.7% 6.4% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonacoMetz
Played44
Form75%8%
Attack44%17%
Defense72%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 23 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 1.38 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monaco Metz
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%50%75%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%50%0%25%
Loses0%50%25%50%100%75%

Form: Monaco: WLWW • Metz: LLLD

League goals

Metric Monaco Metz
HATHAT
GF total628123
GF avg3.01.02.00.51.00.8
GA total325268
GA avg1.51.01.31.03.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonacoMetz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%100%50%100%
1.575%25%25%50%
2.550%0%0%50%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonacoMetz
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricMonacoMetz
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMonacoMetz
Wins10
Draws00
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-2
Biggest losses1-00-13-0
Goals For3212
Goals Against2113

Model comparison

MetricMonacoMetz
Form90%10%
Att73%27%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h93%7%
Goals76%24%
Total78.7%21.3%

Advice: Combo Winner : Monaco and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.40 @ 1xBet
Draw5.99 @ Pinnacle
Away9.25 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.44 @ Unibet
Under 2.53.03 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ Unibet
No2.26 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monaco = 5.16 (league 1.75), Metz = 1.13 (league 1.33)

Metz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monaco 0 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.5% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.3% 4.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 5.5% 6.2% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
5 5.7% 6.4% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.9% · Draw 4.3% · Away win 2.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1