Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 15:15 • Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.75) 0.38 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.8% 29.3% 10.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.4%
0 - 0
18.9%
2 - 0
15.7%
Score & goals probability table
Lyon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lille 0 18.9% 7.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.4% 9.2% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.7% 5.9% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.8% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLilleLyon
Played55
Form67%80%
Attack87%47%
Defense47%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lille Lyon
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%33%60%100%50%80%
Draws0%33%20%0%0%0%
Loses0%33%20%0%50%20%

Form: Lille: DWWWL • Lyon: WWWLW

League goals

Metric Lille Lyon
HATHAT
GF total31013527
GF avg1.53.32.61.71.01.4
GA total178033
GA avg0.52.31.60.01.50.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLilleLyon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%100%20%
1.560%40%20%20%
2.540%40%20%20%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.520%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLilleLyon
HATHAT
Clean sheets101314
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricLilleLyon
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricLilleLyon
Wins33
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-73-00-1
Biggest losses3-03-1
Goals For2731
Goals Against1303

Model comparison

MetricLilleLyon
Form45%55%
Att65%35%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h29%71%
Goals47%53%
Total47.5%52.5%

Advice: Double chance : Lille or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.34 @ 1xBet
Draw3.75 @ 1xBet
Away3.18 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.17 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.47 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lille = 1.29 (league 1.75), Lyon = 0.38 (league 1.33)

Lyon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lille 0 18.9% 7.1% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.4% 9.2% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.7% 5.9% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.8% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.8% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 10.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1