Ligue 1 — France
Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 18:45 • Stade de la Meinau
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.76) 1.50 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.9% 25.9% 59.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.9%
0 - 2
14.2%
0 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Marseille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Strasbourg 0 12.6% 18.9% 14.2% 7.1% 2.7% 0.8%
1 7.2% 10.8% 8.1% 4.1% 1.5% 0.5%
2 2.0% 3.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStrasbourgMarseille
Played55
Form80%60%
Attack50%63%
Defense69%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Strasbourg Marseille
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%67%80%100%0%60%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%33%20%0%100%40%

Form: Strasbourg: WWLWW • Marseille: LWLWW

League goals

Metric Strasbourg Marseille
HATHAT
GF total26810010
GF avg1.02.01.63.30.02.0
GA total055224
GA avg0.01.71.00.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStrasbourgMarseille
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%40%60%60%
1.540%40%40%20%
2.520%20%40%0%
3.50%0%40%0%
4.50%0%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStrasbourgMarseille
HATHAT
Clean sheets213202
Failed to score000022

Penalties

MetricStrasbourgMarseille
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricStrasbourgMarseille
Wins21
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-34-0—
Biggest losses—3-2—1-0
Goals For1350
Goals Against0321

Model comparison

MetricStrasbourgMarseille
Form57%43%
Att44%56%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h64%36%
Goals55%45%
Total52.8%47.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Strasbourg or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.52 @ 1xBet
Draw3.77 @ 1xBet
Away2.14 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Pinnacle
No2.42 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.24 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Strasbourg = 0.57 (league 1.76), Marseille = 1.50 (league 1.33)

Marseille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Strasbourg 0 12.6% 18.9% 14.2% 7.1% 2.7% 0.8%
1 7.2% 10.8% 8.1% 4.1% 1.5% 0.5%
2 2.0% 3.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.9% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 59.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1