Ligue 1 — France
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 17:00 • Stadium de Toulouse
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.73) 1.35 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.1% 25.3% 34.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
1 - 0
8.8%
2 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Nantes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toulouse 0 6.1% 8.3% 5.6% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
1 8.8% 11.9% 8.0% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.4% 8.6% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.1% 4.1% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricToulouseNantes
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack41%18%
Defense47%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Toulouse Nantes
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%33%40%33%0%20%
Draws0%0%0%33%0%20%
Loses50%67%60%33%100%60%

Form: Toulouse: WWLLL • Nantes: LLWLD

League goals

Metric Toulouse Nantes
HATHAT
GF total527303
GF avg2.50.71.41.00.00.6
GA total639325
GA avg3.01.01.81.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineToulouseNantes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%40%80%
1.540%40%20%20%
2.520%20%0%0%
3.50%20%0%0%
4.50%20%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricToulouseNantes
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score011123

Penalties

MetricToulouseNantes
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricToulouseNantes
Wins21
Draws00
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-11-0—
Biggest losses3-62-10-11-0
Goals For3120
Goals Against6221

Model comparison

MetricToulouseNantes
Form60%40%
Att70%30%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total53.2%46.8%

Advice: Double chance : Toulouse or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ 188Bet
Draw3.75 @ Betano
Away5.20 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.84 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Unibet
No1.88 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Toulouse = 1.44 (league 1.73), Nantes = 1.35 (league 1.33)

Nantes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toulouse 0 6.1% 8.3% 5.6% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
1 8.8% 11.9% 8.0% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.4% 8.6% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.1% 4.1% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.1% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 34.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1