Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 15:15 • Stade Océane
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.24 (league 1.75) 0.98 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.2% 18.9% 15.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.0%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Rennes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Le Havre 0 4.0% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.0% 8.8% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.0% 9.8% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.5% 7.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.2% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLe HavreRennes
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack45%55%
Defense55%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Le Havre Rennes
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%0%17%67%0%33%
Draws33%33%33%33%67%50%
Loses33%67%50%0%33%17%

Form: Le Havre: LLWLDD • Rennes: WLDWDD

League goals

Metric Le Havre Rennes
HATHAT
GF total516437
GF avg1.70.31.01.31.01.2
GA total448178
GA avg1.31.31.30.32.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLe HavreRennes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%83%67%67%
1.517%33%33%33%
2.517%17%17%17%
3.50%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLe HavreRennes
HATHAT
Clean sheets011202
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricLe HavreRennes
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricLe HavreRennes
Wins11
Draws01
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-13-1
Biggest losses1-23-14-0
Goals For3132
Goals Against2314

Model comparison

MetricLe HavreRennes
Form45%55%
Att45%55%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h15%85%
Goals31%69%
Total44.0%56.0%

Advice: Double chance : Le Havre or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.15 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ 1xBet
Away2.43 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ 188Bet
No2.27 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Le Havre = 2.24 (league 1.75), Rennes = 0.98 (league 1.33)

Rennes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Le Havre 0 4.0% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
1 9.0% 8.8% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.0% 9.8% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.5% 7.3% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.2% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.2% · Draw 18.9% · Away win 15.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1