Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 13:00 • Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Match Finished
1 - 2
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.75) 0.26 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.2% 36.9% 9.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.0%
1 - 0
28.3%
2 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Toulouse
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lyon 0 29.0% 7.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.3% 7.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.8% 3.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLyonToulouse
Played55
Form80%27%
Attack88%100%
Defense63%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.611 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lyon Toulouse
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins100%67%83%33%33%33%
Draws0%0%0%33%0%17%
Loses0%33%17%33%67%50%

Form: Lyon: WWWLWW • Toulouse: WWLLLD

League goals

Metric Lyon Toulouse
HATHAT
GF total538729
GF avg1.71.01.32.30.71.5
GA total0338311
GA avg0.01.00.52.71.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLyonToulouse
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%17%83%67%
1.517%17%50%50%
2.517%17%17%17%
3.50%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%17%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLyonToulouse
HATHAT
Clean sheets325112
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricLyonToulouse
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricLyonToulouse
Wins32
Draws00
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-12-00-1
Biggest losses3-13-62-1
Goals For3131
Goals Against0362

Model comparison

MetricLyonToulouse
Form75%25%
Att47%53%
Def79%21%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h93%7%
Goals71%29%
Total73.0%27.0%

Advice: Double chance : Lyon or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ 1xBet
Draw3.76 @ 1xBet
Away4.27 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.91 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Pinnacle
No2.04 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lyon = 0.97 (league 1.75), Toulouse = 0.26 (league 1.33)

Toulouse
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lyon 0 29.0% 7.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 28.3% 7.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.8% 3.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.2% · Draw 36.9% · Away win 9.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1