Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 15:15 • Stade Louis II
Match Finished
2 - 2
Expected Goals
7.42 (league 1.75) 1.28 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.1% 1.3% 0.6%
best score tips
5 - 1
4.0%
5 - 0
3.1%
4 - 1
2.7%
Score & goals probability table
Nice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monaco 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 3.1% 4.0% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonacoNice
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack100%88%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

84%
FT probability

3.5+

60%
FT probability

BTTS

92%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monaco Nice
HATHAT
Played336426
Wins100%33%67%50%0%33%
Draws0%0%0%25%0%17%
Loses0%67%33%25%100%50%

Form: Monaco: WLWWWL • Nice: LWLWLD

League goals

Metric Monaco Nice
HATHAT
GF total11314527
GF avg3.71.02.31.31.01.2
GA total55103710
GA avg1.71.71.70.83.51.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonacoNice
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%100%83%83%
1.567%50%17%33%
2.550%17%17%33%
3.517%0%0%17%
4.517%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonacoNice
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricMonacoNice
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMonacoNice
Wins31
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-21-23-1
Biggest losses3-10-14-1
Goals For5231
Goals Against2314

Model comparison

MetricMonacoNice
Form56%44%
Att61%39%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h40%60%
Goals40%60%
Total55.0%45.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Monaco and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ Superbet
Draw4.10 @ 188Bet
Away4.23 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Betano
Under 2.52.50 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ William Hill
No2.61 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monaco = 7.42 (league 1.75), Nice = 1.28 (league 1.33)

Nice
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monaco 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.1% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.7% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 3.1% 4.0% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.1% · Draw 1.3% · Away win 0.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1