Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:00 • Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
2.29 (league 1.75) 0.68 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.8% 16.8% 9.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.4%
1 - 0
11.7%
3 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Paris FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lens 0 5.1% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.7% 8.0% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.4% 9.2% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.2% 7.0% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.9% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLensParis FC
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack35%43%
Defense83%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lens Paris FC
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins67%50%57%67%25%43%
Draws0%25%14%0%25%14%
Loses33%25%29%33%50%43%

Form: Lens: LWWLWDW • Paris FC: LLWWLDW

League goals

Metric Lens Paris FC
HATHAT
GF total64107512
GF avg2.01.01.42.31.31.7
GA total2465813
GA avg0.71.00.91.72.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLensParis FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%71%86%86%
1.557%14%71%43%
2.529%0%14%29%
3.50%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLensParis FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricLensParis FC
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricLensParis FC
Wins22
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-22-01-2
Biggest losses0-12-02-35-2
Goals For3232
Goals Against1235

Model comparison

MetricLensParis FC
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total55.7%44.3%

Advice: Double chance : Lens or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.94 @ 1xBet
Draw4.00 @ Unibet
Away4.20 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.77 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.22 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Pinnacle
No2.29 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lens = 2.29 (league 1.75), Paris FC = 0.68 (league 1.33)

Paris FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lens 0 5.1% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.7% 8.0% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.4% 9.2% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.2% 7.0% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.9% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.8% · Draw 16.8% · Away win 9.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1