Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 15:15 • Stade du Moustoir
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.65 (league 1.73) 2.03 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.7% 18.3% 28.0%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.7%
2 - 1
6.6%
3 - 2
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Stade Brestois 29
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lorient 0 0.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
1 2.5% 5.0% 5.1% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7%
2 3.3% 6.6% 6.7% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9%
3 2.9% 5.9% 5.9% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8%
4 1.9% 3.9% 3.9% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
5 1.0% 2.1% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLorientStade Brestois 29
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack22%35%
Defense35%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 36 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lorient Stade Brestois 29
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%0%29%25%33%29%
Draws0%25%14%50%0%29%
Loses33%75%57%25%67%43%

Form: Lorient: LWLLDWL • Stade Brestois 29: DLLLWWD

League goals

Metric Lorient Stade Brestois 29
HATHAT
GF total8198311
GF avg2.70.31.32.01.01.6
GA total88166511
GA avg2.72.02.31.51.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLorientStade Brestois 29
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%86%71%71%
1.529%43%43%57%
2.529%29%29%29%
3.514%29%14%0%
4.50%14%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLorientStade Brestois 29
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score033112

Penalties

MetricLorientStade Brestois 29
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricLorientStade Brestois 29
Wins12
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-0—4-10-2
Biggest losses1-74-01-23-1
Goals For4142
Goals Against7433

Model comparison

MetricLorientStade Brestois 29
Form36%64%
Att38%62%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h50%50%
Goals38%62%
Total40.5%59.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Stade Brestois 29 and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.74 @ 1xBet
Draw3.45 @ Unibet
Away2.78 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.94 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ William Hill
No2.22 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lorient = 2.65 (league 1.73), Stade Brestois 29 = 2.03 (league 1.33)

Stade Brestois 29
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lorient 0 0.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
1 2.5% 5.0% 5.1% 3.4% 1.7% 0.7%
2 3.3% 6.6% 6.7% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9%
3 2.9% 5.9% 5.9% 4.0% 2.0% 0.8%
4 1.9% 3.9% 3.9% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
5 1.0% 2.1% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.7% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 28.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1