Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 18:45 • Stade de la Beaujoire
Match Finished
0 - 2
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.74) 2.48 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.8% 18.3% 58.7%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.1%
1 - 3
7.5%
1 - 1
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Lille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nantes 0 2.2% 5.6% 6.9% 5.7% 3.5% 1.7%
1 3.0% 7.3% 9.1% 7.5% 4.6% 2.3%
2 2.0% 4.8% 6.0% 5.0% 3.1% 1.5%
3 0.9% 2.1% 2.6% 2.2% 1.3% 0.7%
4 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNantesLille
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack20%40%
Defense80%72%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nantes Lille
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%0%14%50%33%43%
Draws33%50%43%25%33%29%
Loses33%50%43%25%33%29%

Form: Nantes: LLWLDDD • Lille: DWWWLLD

League goals

Metric Nantes Lille
HATHAT
GF total32541014
GF avg1.00.50.71.03.32.0
GA total3473710
GA avg1.01.01.00.82.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNantesLille
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%71%71%86%
1.529%29%43%29%
2.50%0%29%29%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNantesLille
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score134112

Penalties

MetricNantesLille
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricNantesLille
Wins13
Draws01
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-11-7
Biggest losses0-11-00-13-0
Goals For2227
Goals Against2213

Model comparison

MetricNantesLille
Form46%54%
Att33%67%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total38.8%61.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lille

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.21 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.90 @ 1xBet
Away1.83 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.01 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle
No2.03 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nantes = 1.32 (league 1.74), Lille = 2.48 (league 1.33)

Lille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nantes 0 2.2% 5.6% 6.9% 5.7% 3.5% 1.7%
1 3.0% 7.3% 9.1% 7.5% 4.6% 2.3%
2 2.0% 4.8% 6.0% 5.0% 3.1% 1.5%
3 0.9% 2.1% 2.6% 2.2% 1.3% 0.7%
4 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.8% · Draw 18.3% · Away win 58.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1