Ligue 1 — France
Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 18:45 • Stade de la Beaujoire
Match Finished
0 - 2
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.71) 2.56 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.3% 17.8% 59.1%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.9%
1 - 3
7.6%
1 - 1
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Lille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nantes 0 2.0% 5.2% 6.6% 5.6% 3.6% 1.8%
1 2.7% 7.0% 8.9% 7.6% 4.8% 2.5%
2 1.8% 4.7% 6.0% 5.1% 3.2% 1.7%
3 0.8% 2.1% 2.7% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7%
4 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNantesLille
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack20%40%
Defense80%72%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nantes Lille
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%0%14%50%33%43%
Draws33%50%43%25%33%29%
Loses33%50%43%25%33%29%

Form: Nantes: LLWLDDD • Lille: DWWWLLD

League goals

Metric Nantes Lille
HATHAT
GF total32541014
GF avg1.00.50.71.03.32.0
GA total3473710
GA avg1.01.01.00.82.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNantesLille
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%71%71%86%
1.529%29%43%29%
2.50%0%29%29%
3.50%0%14%0%
4.50%0%14%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNantesLille
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score134112

Penalties

MetricNantesLille
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricNantesLille
Wins13
Draws01
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—2-11-7
Biggest losses0-11-00-13-0
Goals For2227
Goals Against2213

Model comparison

MetricNantesLille
Form46%54%
Att33%67%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h29%71%
Goals36%64%
Total38.8%61.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lille

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.21 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.90 @ 1xBet
Away1.83 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.01 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle
No2.03 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nantes = 1.34 (league 1.71), Lille = 2.56 (league 1.29)

Lille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nantes 0 2.0% 5.2% 6.6% 5.6% 3.6% 1.8%
1 2.7% 7.0% 8.9% 7.6% 4.8% 2.5%
2 1.8% 4.7% 6.0% 5.1% 3.2% 1.7%
3 0.8% 2.1% 2.7% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7%
4 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.3% · Draw 17.8% · Away win 59.1%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1