Ligue 1 — France
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 15:00 • Allianz Riviera
Match Finished
3 - 2
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.70) 0.64 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.8% 38.2% 27.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.7%
1 - 0
18.9%
0 - 1
15.7%
Score & goals probability table
Lyon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nice 0 24.7% 15.7% 5.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.9% 12.0% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.2% 4.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNiceLyon
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack29%24%
Defense52%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nice Lyon
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins50%0%29%75%67%71%
Draws25%33%29%0%0%0%
Loses25%67%43%25%33%29%

Form: Nice: LWLWLDD • Lyon: WWWLWWL

League goals

Metric Nice Lyon
HATHAT
GF total549639
GF avg1.31.31.31.51.01.3
GA total3912235
GA avg0.83.01.70.51.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNiceLyon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%86%100%29%
1.529%43%14%29%
2.514%29%14%14%
3.50%14%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNiceLyon
HATHAT
Clean sheets101325
Failed to score101000

Penalties

MetricNiceLyon
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricNiceLyon
Wins13
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—3-00-1
Biggest losses0-14-11-23-1
Goals For3231
Goals Against1423

Model comparison

MetricNiceLyon
Form36%64%
Att55%45%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total39.7%60.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lyon

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ 1xBet
Draw3.64 @ 1xBet
Away2.94 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ William Hill
No2.41 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.83 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.15 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nice = 0.77 (league 1.70), Lyon = 0.64 (league 1.26)

Lyon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nice 0 24.7% 15.7% 5.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.9% 12.0% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 7.2% 4.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.8% · Draw 38.2% · Away win 27.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1