Ligue 1 — France
Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 15:00 • Stade Francis-Le Blé
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.71) 2.32 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.2% 19.7% 52.5%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.8%
1 - 1
7.6%
1 - 3
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
Paris Saint Germain
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stade Brestois 29 0 2.1% 5.0% 5.8% 4.5% 2.6% 1.2%
1 3.3% 7.6% 8.8% 6.8% 4.0% 1.8%
2 2.5% 5.7% 6.7% 5.2% 3.0% 1.4%
3 1.3% 2.9% 3.4% 2.6% 1.5% 0.7%
4 0.5% 1.1% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricStade Brestois 29Paris Saint Germain
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack53%42%
Defense68%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Stade Brestois 29 Paris Saint Germain
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%25%25%75%50%63%
Draws50%25%38%25%25%25%
Loses25%50%38%0%25%13%

Form: Stade Brestois 29: DLLLWWDD • Paris Saint Germain: WWWWLWDD

League goals

Metric Stade Brestois 29 Paris Saint Germain
HATHAT
GF total86148816
GF avg2.01.51.82.02.02.0
GA total6814358
GA avg1.52.01.80.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineStade Brestois 29Paris Saint Germain
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%88%50%
1.550%63%50%25%
2.538%38%25%25%
3.513%0%13%0%
4.50%0%13%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricStade Brestois 29Paris Saint Germain
HATHAT
Clean sheets112314
Failed to score112011

Penalties

MetricStade Brestois 29Paris Saint Germain
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricStade Brestois 29Paris Saint Germain
Wins24
Draws10
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-22-03-6
Biggest losses1-23-1—1-0
Goals For4336
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricStade Brestois 29Paris Saint Germain
Form50%50%
Att56%44%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h0%100%
Goals16%84%
Total40.6%59.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Paris Saint Germain

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home9.25 @ Betano
Draw5.80 @ Unibet
Away1.45 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Superbet
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ Unibet
No2.19 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Stade Brestois 29 = 1.52 (league 1.71), Paris Saint Germain = 2.32 (league 1.29)

Paris Saint Germain
0 1 2 3 4 5
Stade Brestois 29 0 2.1% 5.0% 5.8% 4.5% 2.6% 1.2%
1 3.3% 7.6% 8.8% 6.8% 4.0% 1.8%
2 2.5% 5.7% 6.7% 5.2% 3.0% 1.4%
3 1.3% 2.9% 3.4% 2.6% 1.5% 0.7%
4 0.5% 1.1% 1.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.2% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 52.5%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1