Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 19:05 • Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.92 (league 1.75) 0.78 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.8% 33.9% 29.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.3%
1 - 0
16.8%
0 - 1
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
Marseille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lens 0 18.3% 14.3% 5.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.8% 13.1% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 7.7% 6.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLensMarseille
Played55
Form67%100%
Attack28%64%
Defense84%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.416 | 3.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lens Marseille
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%50%63%100%50%75%
Draws0%25%13%0%0%0%
Loses25%25%25%0%50%25%

Form: Lens: LWWLWDWW • Marseille: LWLWWWWW

League goals

Metric Lens Marseille
HATHAT
GF total841216521
GF avg2.01.01.54.01.32.6
GA total347437
GA avg0.81.00.91.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLensMarseille
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%75%75%63%
1.563%13%63%25%
2.525%0%50%0%
3.50%0%38%0%
4.50%0%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLensMarseille
HATHAT
Clean sheets112213
Failed to score123022

Penalties

MetricLensMarseille
Scored (total | %)2 | 66.67%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 33.33%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricLensMarseille
Wins21
Draws10
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-26-20-3
Biggest losses0-12-01-0
Goals For3263
Goals Against1221

Model comparison

MetricLensMarseille
Form40%60%
Att30%70%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total45.5%54.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Marseille

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.94 @ 1xBet
Draw3.75 @ Unibet
Away2.48 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.77 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.28 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.41 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lens = 0.92 (league 1.75), Marseille = 0.78 (league 1.33)

Marseille
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lens 0 18.3% 14.3% 5.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.8% 13.1% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 7.7% 6.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.8% · Draw 33.9% · Away win 29.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1