Ligue 1 — France
Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 18:45 • Stade Jean Bouin
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.71) 0.66 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.1% 28.4% 18.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.2%
0 - 0
13.5%
2 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Nantes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paris FC 0 13.5% 8.9% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.2% 11.9% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.2% 8.0% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.5% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParis FCNantes
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack42%21%
Defense63%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paris FC Nantes
HATHAT
Played358448
Wins67%20%38%25%0%13%
Draws0%20%13%25%50%38%
Loses33%60%50%50%50%50%

Form: Paris FC: LLWWLDWL • Nantes: LLWLDDDL

League goals

Metric Paris FC Nantes
HATHAT
GF total7613325
GF avg2.31.21.60.80.50.6
GA total51015549
GA avg1.72.01.91.31.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParis FCNantes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%88%38%75%
1.563%50%25%38%
2.513%25%0%0%
3.50%13%0%0%
4.50%13%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParis FCNantes
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score011235

Penalties

MetricParis FCNantes
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricParis FCNantes
Wins21
Draws13
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-21-0—
Biggest losses2-35-20-21-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against3522

Model comparison

MetricParis FCNantes
Form70%30%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h50%50%
Goals23%77%
Total54.2%45.8%

Advice: Double chance : Paris FC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ Betano
Draw4.23 @ 1xBet
Away5.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.17 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Unibet
No2.11 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paris FC = 1.34 (league 1.71), Nantes = 0.66 (league 1.29)

Nantes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paris FC 0 13.5% 8.9% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.2% 11.9% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.2% 8.0% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.5% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.1% · Draw 28.4% · Away win 18.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1