Ligue 1 — France
Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 18:00 • Stade du Moustoir
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.76) 4.63 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
6.6% 7.9% 53.2%
best score tips
1 - 4
6.0%
1 - 5
5.6%
1 - 3
5.2%
Score & goals probability table
Paris Saint Germain
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lorient 0 0.2% 0.9% 2.1% 3.3% 3.8% 3.5%
1 0.3% 1.5% 3.4% 5.2% 6.0% 5.6%
2 0.3% 1.2% 2.7% 4.2% 4.8% 4.5%
3 0.1% 0.6% 1.4% 2.2% 2.6% 2.4%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLorientParis Saint Germain
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack44%56%
Defense44%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lorient Paris Saint Germain
HATHAT
Played459459
Wins50%0%22%75%60%67%
Draws25%20%22%25%20%22%
Loses25%80%56%0%20%11%

Form: Lorient: LWLLDWLDL • Paris Saint Germain: WWWWLWDDW

League goals

Metric Lorient Paris Saint Germain
HATHAT
GF total1111281119
GF avg2.80.21.32.02.22.1
GA total111021358
GA avg2.82.02.30.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLorientParis Saint Germain
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%89%89%44%
1.533%56%56%22%
2.533%33%33%22%
3.511%22%11%0%
4.50%11%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLorientParis Saint Germain
HATHAT
Clean sheets101325
Failed to score044011

Penalties

MetricLorientParis Saint Germain
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricLorientParis Saint Germain
Wins14
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-0—2-03-6
Biggest losses1-74-0—1-0
Goals For4136
Goals Against7433

Model comparison

MetricLorientParis Saint Germain
Form38%62%
Att44%56%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total33.8%66.2%

Advice: Combo Winner : Paris Saint Germain and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home12.20 @ 1xBet
Draw7.12 @ Pinnacle
Away1.38 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.48 @ 10Bet
Under 2.53.10 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ 10Bet
No1.97 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Lorient = 1.59 (league 1.76), Paris Saint Germain = 4.63 (league 1.33)

Paris Saint Germain
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lorient 0 0.2% 0.9% 2.1% 3.3% 3.8% 3.5%
1 0.3% 1.5% 3.4% 5.2% 6.0% 5.6%
2 0.3% 1.2% 2.7% 4.2% 4.8% 4.5%
3 0.1% 0.6% 1.4% 2.2% 2.6% 2.4%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 0.9%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.6% · Draw 7.9% · Away win 53.2%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1